Tennis, decoded
by data.
The market posts a price. Our model computes the real probability, and shows you the gap.
Surface Elo, playing style, form and head-to-head, across 300,000 matches since 2013.
Then more than 60 metrics on every match page.
The market sets a price.
EdgeLab reads the game.
One probability per match, set against the odds. When the two clearly part ways, there's something worth a look. That's this tool's entire job.
Tours covered
Our approach
An engine, not picks.
Every match of the day runs through the same pipeline: from raw data to a probability, then from that probability to a gap against the market.
The EdgeLab 4.2 model
Surface-specific Elo, style matchups (our matrix learned from history), recent form, head-to-head weighted by recency and surface, fatigue: one probability per match, continuously recalculated.
Value, with discipline
When our probability clearly diverges from the odds, the match gets flagged. Never without a Bet365 cross-check, and every signal is then judged by CLV - the only honest compass over the long run.
Players profiled in depth
12 playing styles computed against peers of the same level, records against every style, by surface and court speed, serve and return ratings, clutch, match load.
Aces, double faults and breaks, band by band
Not an average, but the probability of each band: 0 to 2 aces, 3 to 5, 6 to 8, and beyond. The projection accounts for the server, the court speed, the likely length of the match and the player receiving. That last part weighs more than you would think: from one returner to the next, the expected number of aces can double. And breaks get their own matrix, built on the same logic.
On court
What the model spots.
The model doesn't look for the winner - it looks for the price that doesn't add up.
Kilian Feldbausch vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Generali Open · Kitzbühel
Match odds
Probability that Feldbausch wins
- Market
- 38%
- EdgeLab model
- 54%
The model sees them +16 pts above the market.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Buse
EFG Swiss Open · Gstaad
Match odds
Probability that Tsitsipas wins
- Market
- 45%
- EdgeLab model
- 58%
The model sees them +13 pts above the market.
Novak Djokovic vs Félix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon · London
Match odds
Probability that Djokovic wins
- Market
- 60%
- EdgeLab model
- 73%
The model sees them +13 pts above the market.
EdgeLab Pro · premium analysis
What nobody else shows you
Everyone talks about the winner. Pro members see the exact-score matrix and the ace and double-fault probabilities, match by match. The breaks matrix is the Pro+ product.
Hubert Hurkacz – Alejandro Tabilo
The full analysis of every match is reserved for Pro members
Upgrade to EdgeLab Pro- Breaks (Pro+) and total-games matrices
- Aces and double faults by probability bucket
- Calibrated on each tournament's Speed Index
A matrix tuned on 150,000 sets. What comes out: exact score, aces, breaks and total games, all of it before the first point.
How it works
From match to decision, in three steps.
The information arrives in the order you need it to decide - no jargon, no cryptic charts.
Today's matches
Tue, Aug 4
Browse today's matches
Every ATP, WTA and Challenger match, with odds, surface, court speed and start time. The value badge jumps out whenever the model has something to say.
Form · last 10 matches
The model's read First career meeting. Form says Majchrzak, the full picture says Monfils: 53% for our model while the market leaves him at 27%.
Open the match dashboard
Model probability against the market, styles in play, matchup records, form, H2H, clutch, fatigue: nine tabs and a plain-language summary written by the engine.
Decide with the full picture
You confirm or you pass, with the numbers in front of you. EdgeLab shows the gap - the decision and the stake stay yours.
Transparency
Proof, not promises.
Everything we claim is dated, public and there to check. Here's where to look.
Public track record
Every value signal is timestamped before the match and its result published, wins and losses alike.
See the track recordCLV as our compass
Beating the closing odds, match after match, is the true sign of a model that sees it before the market does. It's our number-one KPI.
Follow the CLVOpen methodology
The components, the backtest protocol and the value thresholds are public, and the thresholds on screen are imported from the code. The exact weights stay with us.
Read the methodologyMember reviews
Hear it from the people using it.
Feedback from community members who were given access, published with their consent and unedited.
Une plateforme particulièrement complète pour analyser les matchs avec davantage de méthode. Les statistiques sont pertinentes, bien organisées et faciles à interpréter. Je gagne énormément de temps dans mes recherches et mes décisions reposent désormais sur des éléments beaucoup plus concrets.A remarkably comprehensive platform for tennis match analysis. The data is clearly presented, the player profiles are detailed, and the interface makes advanced statistics easy to understand. It has significantly improved both the efficiency and structure of my research process.L’outil centralise toutes les informations dont j’ai besoin pour étudier un match : dynamique récente, profils des joueurs, conditions de jeu et données avancées. L’interface est claire, fluide et accessible, même lorsque l’on n’est pas expert en statistiques. Il est rapidement devenu indispensable dans ma routine d’analyse.What stands out most is the ability to access all the relevant information in one place. Instead of switching between multiple websites, I can quickly compare players, review recent trends and evaluate each matchup with a much clearer framework. The platform has become an essential part of my analysis.Avant d’utiliser la plateforme, je passais beaucoup de temps à chercher des informations sur plusieurs sites sans toujours savoir comment les interpréter. Aujourd’hui, tout est regroupé au même endroit et présenté de manière structurée. Cela m’aide à identifier plus rapidement les matchs intéressants et à prendre des décisions plus rationnelles.The platform combines high-quality tennis data with an intuitive and professional user experience. It does not simply display statistics; it helps users understand which information matters and how to interpret it. A valuable tool for anyone looking to approach sports analysis in a more disciplined and data-driven way.Reviews from community members, published with their consent. Drag the ribbon to browse at your own pace.
EdgeLab Alerts
The model takes a pick. Your phone buzzes.
A pick our model has just taken, a physio called on court: what matters does not wait for your next page refresh. EdgeLab Alerts sends it to your Telegram in real time, enriched with the model's read.
The model's picks
The moment a pick enters the track record, it lands on your phone: the side taken, the odds, the model's probability and the edge it sees.
MTOs in real time
A medical timeout can flip a match. Every detected MTO fires an alert within seconds, often before the odds have even moved.
Straight to Telegram
No dashboard to babysit: the alerts come to you, wherever you are.
What you actually receive
🎯 Model pick
• 🔵 Kei Nishikori vs Michael Antonius · U.S. Open - New York
Pick: Kei Nishikori @ 1.73 · model 61% · edge +7 pts
moderate value · stake 1.5 u · start 23:10
🏥 Physio called on court
Player affected: Luciano Darderi
• Spray on left leg, scratches
• Darderi to serve next at 2-5 down vs Mattia Bellucci
Fav or Dog
What a favorite really pays.
Backing every favorite loses. Every underdog too.
Fav or Dog measures a player's real return, backed by Bet365 closing odds, and breaks it down by tournament category, surface and period.
Pricing
Start for free, go Pro whenever you like.
The model and today's matches are open. The full analysis lives in EdgeLab Pro, and the real-time edge in EdgeLab Pro+.
Free
To get a feel for the model
- All of today's matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger
- One ATP and one WTA match on us every day, all 60 metrics included
- 100 free coins every day
- EdgeLab AI (3 chats per day)
- Public track record & methodology
- Today's winning streaks, in the Dashboard
EdgeLab Pro
PopularThe full analysis, every match
monthly billing, no commitment
Founder rate locked in for life for the first 100 members, instead of €24.99/month.
Upgrade to EdgeLab Pro- Everything in Free, plus:
- Exact-score matrix, every match
- Ace & double-fault matrix
- Full analysis unlocked (9 tabs)
- Access to the Arena
- Access to the EdgeLab lab
- Email alerts: every model pick, the moment it is taken
EdgeLab Pro+
Best valueThe real-time edge
monthly billing, no commitment
Go EdgeLab Pro+- Everything in EdgeLab Pro, plus:
- EdgeLab Alerts: real-time MTOs on Telegram
- EdgeLab Alerts: model picks within seconds, on Telegram
- Breaks matrix
- Fav or Dog: what backing a favorite really returns
- New features shipping continuously
No commitment, cancel anytime. Betting should stay fun: please gamble responsibly.
FAQ
The questions we get asked.
And if yours isn't here, the methodology page goes further.
Where do your probabilities come from?
From the EdgeLab 4.2 model: a blend of surface-specific Elo, style matchups (our matrix learned from history), recent form and weighted head-to-head. Every component is backtested on the full corpus before it ships, and the ones that add nothing stay out.
What exactly is a value signal?
A match where the model's probability clearly diverges from the one implied by the odds. We only call it after cross-checking Bet365's odds, and we then judge it by CLV: if the closing odds side with the model, the signal was right, whatever the match result.
Why so much room for Challengers?
Because that's where the market is missing the most information. On the main tour, odds are very efficient; at Challenger level, EdgeLab's depth of data makes a real difference. It's a deliberate choice, at the heart of the tool.
Is your model actually profitable over time?
It's measured, not claimed. We replayed the production model on 49,645 priced ATP matches between 2016 and 2025: following our value rules, it comes out ahead in 9 of the 10 years, with a return of +10% on stakes. It is a retrospective simulation (no picks were published over that period), and that is exactly why the public track record exists: since then, every signal is frozen before the match and judged by CLV. The full curve lives on the track record page.
There's a gap between your model and the odds, and yet you don't play it. Why?
Because a gap on its own isn't enough. Our rules come from replaying 49,645 priced matches between 2016 and 2025, ten years of tour, and they set two conditions, not one: the gap must reach 4.8 points, and the player carrying it must be given above 50% by the model. A gap on a player our model doesn't see as the favorite loses money over those ten years, so we stand aside. Three other cases make us pass: odds not cross-checked by a second source, odds our audit flags as suspicious, and a player whose Elo rating still rests on too few matches. The match page always says which of these conditions blocked it.
Does EdgeLab guarantee winning bets?
No - and be wary of anyone who promises that. EdgeLab provides honest probabilities, documented gaps and a public track record. Variance is real, staking discipline is yours, and betting should stay fun: please gamble responsibly.
The next match is decided
before the first point.
Open a match dashboard and see what the model sees in it.
Explore today's matches
EdgeLab AI