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Pre-match snapshot: our model had Frances Tiafoe winning at 60%.
Probability frozen before first serve, revealed once the match ended. Pro members see it before the match. See analyses before the match
Match analysis
HardEdgeLab Elo computed on the full history. Career records since 2013, scope: ATP + Challenger, main draws - qualifying and ITF events excluded, like official ATP records. “Similar courts” and “altitude” also count qualifying. Court speed: EdgeLab index.
Opening → closing
Bet365Movement
| When | Sonego | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| 15/08 · 02:47Opening | 3.20 | 1.36 |
| 15/08 · 09:05 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
| 15/08 · 12:34 | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| 15/08 · 19:05 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 15/08 · 22:34 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 16/08 · 00:33 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| 17/08 · 04:00Closingfrozen since 16/08 · 00:33 | 2.38 | 1.57 |
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